Gretchen Whitmer

As governor, likely to sign bills that expand abortion access and to veto bills that restrict it. Based on: 1 2 3 4. Wrong if: She signs a bill that restricts abortion access, or vetoes one that expands it. 6 of 6 later decisions correct (plausible range 61–100%); no baseline, so it cannot show the analysis adds anything. Details

Likely to veto bills that add identification requirements or new criminal penalties for absentee voting. Based on: 1 2. Wrong if: She signs a bill requiring identification to obtain an absentee ballot or creating new felonies tied to absentee ballot applications. not tested against later actions. Details

Likely to sign bills that tighten firearm rules (safe storage, background checks) and to veto bills that loosen them. Based on: 1 2 3 4 5. Wrong if: She vetoes a bill tightening storage or background-check rules, or signs one that loosens firearm rules. not tested against later actions. Details

In a future statewide emergency, likely to govern through executive emergency orders and to renew emergency declarations on her own authority. Based on: 1 2 3 4 5. Wrong if: In a declared emergency she seeks legislative approval before extending it, or lets a declaration lapse when the legislature declines to extend it. not tested against later actions. Details